Pegs, Risk Management, and Financial Crises

Bubbles, Financial Crises, and Systemic Risk∗

This chapter surveys the literature on bubbles, financial crises, and systemic risk. The first part of the chapter provides a brief historical account of bubbles and financial crisis. The second part of the chapter gives a structured overview of the literature on financial bubbles. The third part of the chapter discusses the literatures on financial crises and systemic risk, with particular emp...

Financial Crises and Political Crises∗

The simultaneous determination of financial default and political crises is studied in an open economy model. Political crises accompany default in equilibrium because of an information transmission conflict between the government and the public. Multiple equilibria are possible: if foreign lenders are pessimistic about the country’s stability, they demand a high interest on the debt, exacerbat...

Appendix to "Financial Crises and Political Crises"

PBE Type i: Neither default nor political crisis If V ≤ χL, the costs of default are always larger than the costs of servicing the debt even for the benevolent government. Then in equilibrium, the government proposes to service the debt, which is accepted by the representative agent. Hence the debt is repaid and political crisis is avoided. Neither the benevolent government nor the self interes...

Governments Debt and Asset Management and Financial Crises : Sellers Beware

Psychology, Financial Decision Making, and Financial Crises.

It is understandable that people ask how the current financial crisis could happen. As the market actors appear irrational, it is also understandable that people—lay people and experts alike—believe that psychological factors play a decisive role. Is there evidence for such a role, and what is the evidence? This monograph reviews, evaluates, and discusses research—primarily psychological resear...